Top seed kicks off his campaign in China.
Top seed Lorenzo Musetti is out to make a statement, and it all starts with a Round of 16 bout against Dino Prizmic of Croatia in the 2025 Chengdu Open. While the ace Italian received a bye in Round-1, Prizmic scored an upset win over Cincinnati Masters semifinalist Terence Atmane on Thursday. It will be their first meeting on tour, with the winner set to take on either Basilashvili or McDonald in the quarterfinal stage. Let’s take you through the preview and prediction for this match-up in China, followed by the BetMGM betting odds.
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmic Match Preview
The head-to-head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Dino Prizmic is 0-0. While Musetti is primarily a clay court specialist, he has shown plenty of promise on the hard courts too. Despite failing to win a title in 2025, the 23-year-old has shown promise by making numerous deep runs across tournaments.
The World No. 9 began his season by reaching the quarterfinal in Hong Kong, but underwent a minor slump right after. During the European clay swing, he reached three semifinals and a final. After winning just one match in his next four events, the Italian powerhouse capped off the American hard court campaign by reaching the US Open quarterfinals.
Unlike his opponent who has a 70% winning ratio this year, Prizmic has a tour-level record of just 4-3 so far. Currently ranked No. 121 in the world, he is the third best player from Croatia at the moment. Prizmic is a former French Open junior champion, and has primarily featured on the ATP Challenger Tour in 2025. He has won two titles on the Challenger circuit this year, and finished as the runner-up thrice.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmic Career Comparison
| Lorenzo Musetti | Category | Dino Prizmic |
| 9 | Current Ranking | 121 |
| 162-124 | Career W-L Record | 6-11 |
| 30-13 | YTD W-L Record | 3-3 |
| 2 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmic ATP Chengdu Open 2025 Prediction
Musetti dropped just one set en route to the quarterfinal stage in New York, before running into top seed Jannik Sinner. He served extremely well, and also generated great depth on his groundstrokes. Against Prizmic, he will be free to take more chances and attack from the baseline. The 20-year-old Croatian wonder kid has received a lot of praise in the past, including some kind words from Novak Djokovic – who compared Prizmic to himself. His flat style of play could trouble Musetti, particularly if the Italian is pushed deep behind the baseline.
Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti in Three Sets.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Dino Prizmic ATP Chengdu Open 2025 Betting Odds
Musetti has been given favorable numbers in terms of the pre-match betting odds for this Round of 16 battle on Chinese soil. Meanwhile, Prizmic is the underdog with 2/1 odds. According to the implied probability on the money line, Musetti has a 68% chance of advancing to the QFs. Here are the odds for the match result and set-wise betting (as per BetMGM):
- Total Games <21.5: Evens
- Total Sets <2.5: 13/25
- Musetti to Win 2-0: Evens
- Prizmic +3.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11
- Muses -1.5 (Set Handicap): 21/20
- Total Number of Tiebreaks <0.5: 4/9
- Musetti to Win Set-1 By 6-2: 5/1
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)
